Filipino Scientists’ New System Predicts Philippine Floods

The Impact-Based Flood Forecasting System determines specific areas in the Philippines that are most likely to be affected by severe flooding. Photo: Dr. Alfredo Mahar Lagmay.

The Philippines, frequently battered by typhoons and floods, now has a new weapon in its arsenal. University of the Philippines (UP) scientists have developed an impact-based flood forecasting system. This innovative tool predicts flooding across the entire country. It’s a crucial step in improving disaster preparedness.

Floods are a major threat. They cause significant damage and loss of life. The Philippines experiences numerous tropical cyclones annually. The country ranks high on the World Risk Index for extreme weather events.

The system, a product of collaboration between UP’s Resilience Institute (UPRI), the Nationwide Operational Assessment of Hazards (NOAH) Center, and the Institute of Environmental Science and Meteorology (IESM), predicts flooding up to 24 hours in advance. It uses accumulated rainfall forecasts and historical flood data. The system adjusts global weather models to better fit the Philippines’ unique geography.

The team won best innovation pitch among 64 entries nationwide in the Preparedness and Response Excellence in the Philippines (PREP) Innovation Challenge. Photo: Dr. Alfredo Mahar Lagmay

Dr. Alfredo Mahar Lagmay, a key figure in the project, explains the system’s capabilities. It pinpoints areas likely to flood. The information is accessible on the NOAH website. Data is presented in maps and tables, down to the barangay level.

The system isn’t just a one-way street. The public can contribute through the LyfSaver app. Citizens can report floods in their areas. This crowdsourced data helps refine the system’s accuracy.

The team collaborated with various organizations. These include FYT PH Media, YesPinoy, and Quezon City’s disaster risk management office. This integration aims to improve disaster response.

The system, detailed in a paper published in the Asian Journal of Agriculture and Development, is considered a success. However, the scientists emphasize ongoing development. Further improvements are needed. Collaboration and good governance are vital for effective disaster management.

The system’s creators recently won an innovation award. They plan to expand the system’s capabilities. This includes predicting landslides and storm surges. Donations are welcome to support this vital work.

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